Coming Catastrophe of the 2022 Elections; Possible Collapse of Neo-Liberalism.
What is our plan? Yes, the trans excess will be over, but the Gay and Lesbian communities very well might be in a dire situation.
INTRODUCTION
How I see historical change unfolding specifically isn’t that important, what I want people to understand is that we are in a time of great historical change, and there isn’t going to be a restoration to the pre-Trump situation.
Also, it needs to be understood that neoliberalism is facing forces leading to its demise. Again, it isn’t important that you see historical developments my way, but you see that neoliberalism domination is coming to an end.
Most importantly you need to see that an electoral catastrophe is coming.
The coming election catastrophe has many causes, but first look at the data.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
Joe Biden is as unpopular as Donald Trump in the polls. On voting for congress, it seems an electoral disaster is ahead.
Let’s not nitpick on this or that with the polls. The 538 website is very good. I used to do a lot of statistical analysis with JMP in industry and I have read some of Nate Silver’s articles on statistical analysis. He knows his stuff.
In 2022 the Republicans will be in control of both the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate, and it won’t be the Republicans we know in the past, but much further to the right and possibly violent.
Who might possibly oppose Trump and the political forces he has unleashed? The Republican power bases that did exist in opposition to Trump are just remnants and more importantly shown to have little or no influence.
The Democrats, run by the neoliberals, are the ones who have been losing to Trump and his political base, and likely to continue their losing strategies which have been shown NOT to work.
The neoliberals’ political incompetence was shown in 2016 when they nominated Hilary Clinton, a person who had been defeated by a junior senator from Illinois in the primaries in 2008, despite being the favorite of the Democratic political establishment and the wife of a former U.S. President. That should have been a clear message on electability.
The neoliberal Democrats are so self-confident and smug, they decided it was a political fluke and there was incessant talk about a coming blue wave in the elections, a blue wave that never came.
The neoliberals just managed to get Joe Biden elected president by the smallest of margins in a tumultuous election in 2020.
The neoliberals just can’t imagine that they don’t know everything and can’t manage everything, they see themselves as the elite and expect to manage everything.
As for the collapse of the neoliberals, I do think that racism has resurged with Barack Obama being president, but I think that doesn’t look to the root cause. Under economic stress people look for scapegoats as history has shown.
The political agenda of the neoliberals as been social liberalism with an illiberal economic policy and also the social liberalism hasn’t been always that much. It was Hillary Clinton who used the phrase “super predators” and so the jails were filled with young men, many who are African American. Undocumented workers make an easily exploitable labor force for employers. I was amazed how unpicked crops were mentioned by self-anointed social justice workers as a sign of injustice, rather than that giant Agribusinesses had come to rely on exploitable labor.
The steady decline in the economic fortunes of the everyday person has occurred under the neoliberal regime. The average person wants a change. The current economic policies don’t hold any future for them. I don’t think they care what whoppers Trump says. They know that the current neoliberal regime holds more of the same for them. The dystopian movies, “Blade Runner,” and “Blade Runner 2049,” is not the dystopian of some right-wing regime, but the present regime operating in the future.
The trans excesses are only one factor in the upcoming electoral defeat and a minor one. However, watching men as transwomen, take competition trophies is galling to Americans who feel fairness is part of their American identity. The thought of intact men in girls high school locker rooms is not going to be accepted by American parents. Further administering puberty blockers to pre-teens on the basic of some self-reported dysphoria with some psychological assessment in which a gender clinic is material rewarded by finding of a transgender identity is another thing the public can see through.
Even the non-academics are aware of the endless psychological fads that come and go. The non-academic knows how psychology is driven by ideology of the day. People in the field of science are aware of the reproducibility crisis in psychology. That is many major psychological experiments haven’t produced the same results when repeated.
The problem is that the Gay community, and I believe the Lesbian community are going to be taken over the cliff along with the trans craziness.
Yet, none of the Alphabet Soup (LGBTQXYZ+) media are warning the Gay and Lesbian communities or talking about the upcoming electoral disaster. I think it is because the neoliberal Democrats are so full of themselves they just can’t believe they can lose. The other thing is that the Alphabet Soup media reporting on imminent disaster would start a discussion leading to questioning how the Gay and Lesbian communities have been brought into this crisis.
FOUR TOPICS FOLLOWING: Physical Safety, evacuation, food & supplies, and Gay Liberation strategy.
Hopefully it doesn’t come to this, but history and the present is full of examples of people that weren’t expecting anything to happen, in situations where expecting something to happen would seem unreasonable, and were caught unprepared.
Physical Safety
I am not claiming in this section to have all the recommended things you should do, but I am going to just suggest some things to get you thinking.
I have a cousin who moved to Canada some time ago and in discussing the current situation she said that “You might have to wait sometime before getting into Canada.” Likely the Canadians aren’t really wanting a million or two American refugees pouring into their nation.
So your physical safety needs to be considered. Much of the actions you might take are also good to reduce crime.
Securing your house. You need to be able to prevent people from breaking in and harming you. At least it should take some time for them to break in so the police or some other defense has time to show up.
Are all the locks on your windows and doors in good order? Do you have a blocking rod for sliding doors?
Do you have blinds or shades for all your windows?
How would you call for help? Maybe 911 is overloaded during a crisis, what is the local police station number?
Are the doors for your house really secure. Do they have two deadbolt locks? Is the frame is extra bolted into the house so the door can’t be kicked in? Are there are braces to prevent it from being kicked in? Is it a solid wood door or steel door and not a hollow wood or plastic door?
Decorative iron security doors over your door.
Does your house have good lighting on all four sides?
Have storm windows with tempered glass. Besides saving energy it makes it much more difficult to break through and crawl through a window.
A plan what to do if the house is attacked. Where in the house will you retreat to? Are there pieces of heavy furniture to put in front of doors? You will want to have this thought out and not have to figure it out when you are attacked and having trouble being focused.
Do you have a firearm with ammunition?
When leaving the house do you have a means to check that it is safe before leaving? Where is your car parked at night? What is your plan when exiting the car? What is your means of exit when you are at a place?
Again, this is just a starter. The important thing about this list is starting a process of thinking about your security.
Food & Utilities & Supplies
If there was civil disorder for a week, would you be hungry or eating the baking starch? If power goes out for a few hours are you down totally? Can you cook food? If the water pressure fails, do you have something to drink, to cook with, to wash yourself? Do you take medicines? Don’t be a survivalist, but some consideration needs to be made. If you had to stay home a week, what issues would you face. If the power went off what would be the consequences?
Think about when you will act, rather than rushing to the store when everyone else is.
Evacuation
What is your plan? Where would you go and how? After getting there, what would you live on? How much savings do you have? If driving, is your car in working order? Do you have travel luggage? Electrical adaptors for the new place? What papers would you need? What vaccinations to live there? What are the policies for immigration in the place you want to live?
I would suggest that given that the elections are a little over 5 months some thinking needs to be done now. What places are inexpensive and have a climate you can tolerate?
You can start reviewing climates and cost of living online. You can get your vaccinations now, you will probably be traveling to places requiring them sometime in your life anyways.
Of course it might be just a matter of moving from one state to another. Still, it needs to be thought through. Who would take you in? What would be your plan to make a living?
Also, the most important, what will be the critical criteria to decide to flee?
When it is totally obvious that you need to flee isn’t going to be a good time to flee. A good time to flee would be a week or two before it becomes obvious that you need to be leaving in a hurry. Likely in the situation where it is obvious you need to leave, a lot of other people are wanting to leave also, and a flood would clog the means of exit and a lot of places don’t want a humanitarian crisis moving to them.
Further if you are fleeing, it might be that the government or someone is attempting to block your exit.
Gay strategy.
No more LGBTQXYZ, a Gay centric politics independent of political parties, and working alliances with Lesbian organizations for specific issues.
A Gay movement that isn’t beholden to the neoliberals. An abandonment of the Stonewall Democrats. A Gay movement that is Gay centric.
We won’t have to deal with trans excess anymore, but that doesn’t mean the future will be problem free. We might find Gay marriages invalidated. Sodomy laws back in force. Purges of Lesbian and Gay school teachers. Violent attacks on Gays and Lesbians. Attacks on Gay bars. Arrests of Gays and Lesbians on one pretext or another. Meetings of Gays and Lesbians disrupted.
We need to have groups for our defense. Plans for security of the Gay community. Also, support for Lesbians and Gays who lose their jobs.
If it was very adverse situation, how would we run an underground Gay movement?
SUMMARY
Hopefully none of these situations come to be. Hopefully, this is just me having an especially pessimistic day. However, historically people get caught in situations which previously would have been considered alarmist a few weeks earlier.
I am not saying that this will necessarily happen, but I think it is a real possibility. We need to start at least thinking about what our plan is. What preparations we can do easily, we should start now.
During a crisis it might be hard to focus and consider everything. Taking care of things now is less to think about in the future. Having a plan now is knowing when and what to do, rather than thinking about it during a crisis.
Some of these items are things we probably need to do anyways, like security for the door to prevent burglary. Lets do them now.